I would think that the latter option is safer.
This is especially true for the Clippers - the Clippers only have 1 to 2 years of Harden, and their future plans are taken step by step. And if you are Powell, after you are not young but suddenly reach the peak, you may want to take the opportunity to get a long-term contract guarantee.
The question is just, is the price of selling Powell by the Clippers cheap? Is the difference between him and Collins the Clippers subsidized for the second round of picks? Perhaps, the impact of age is greater than expected. It is also possible that the managers in the market are very rational, and they still think that Powell is not above the top sixth man.
For the Clippers, the 25-26 season is the year with the most chance in the few time windows left. There is no problem in making a transaction that weakens the lower limit and tries to the upper limit.
Finally, let me briefly talk about the significance of this deal to the other two teams.
The Pistons lost Biss and used Dunro to replace him, while the Heat lost Dunro to buy Powell, which was also a small upgrade. And after buying Powell, the Heat should no longer be a potential contender for Bills - of course, this doesn't matter.
I still don't know what the Heat's plan is, although their lineup does have the ability to make do with it. The Clippers threw the problem of Powell's contract renewal to them. Wiggins also had player options in the summer of 26, hoping that the Heat would have a thoughtful long-term plan.
But the Heat still had to get high scores in this deal because they paid too little and only sent away two veterans, Li Kaile and Love. The price is that they are helping the Jazz clean up the space to some extent, which leads to their own luxury taxes. After renewing Xiaomi's contract and buying Powell, Rocher became even more embarrassed. Some of his guarantee contracts look precarious, both from the perspective of position and tax avoidance.
In terms of renovating puzzles and replacing resources, Jazz not only is not as good as the Thunder at that time, but also has a gap with the Wizards. Clarkson and Sexton handled it too badly. However, with Collins' contract amount and expiration contract, I did not expect the Jazz to exchange him for a valuable first round. After Li Kaier renovates, he should have the opportunity to continue buying the second round. At the same time, the Jazz reduced their total salary through this contract and had the opportunity to help people eat garbage contracts to fight for more valuable draft picks. After counting inside and outside, I think the reward the Jazz gets through this contract should be greater than one first round.
Trading rating:
Clippers, buy Bill to A+, but cannot buy Bill to B+
Jazz, A-
Heat, A-
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